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Elliott Wave Insights

Expert analysis and market commentary from the EWS team.

VIX Is Not Tradable, and VXX Proves It

The volatility index has no contract behind it. What you buy is a rolling futures position. A modelled year of daily rolls loses 49.20% with the index standing still, and the index has to gain 33.98%

Sep 24, 2026

INDICESSep 22, 2026

Anatomy of Five Crashes

1987, 2000, 2008, 2020 and 2022 are not five versions of the same event. Who was forced to sell sets the tempo, the tempo sets the corrective form, and the form decides whether your invalidation

MACROSep 17, 2026

The Ten-Year Yield Is the Metronome

One rate sits in the denominator of every other price. Adding 100 basis points takes 0.95% off a cash flow due next year and 24.96% off one due in thirty, and that asymmetry decides whether a decline

COMMODITIESSep 15, 2026

Gold Is Not Only a Chart

Most gold demand argues with the price. One slice of it does not. On a stated model market, swapping a price-chasing buyer for an indifferent one of the same size takes 2.8 points off a 26.1 point

COMMODITIESSep 10, 2026

What Gold's 1980 Peak Is Worth Today

Everyone quotes the old high and almost nobody names the deflator. Take a peak of 100 and four round growth factors: consumer prices give 400, money per ounce 640, nominal output 1,200, broad money

COMMODITIESSep 8, 2026

Gold's Delayed Reflex

A margin call is settled in dollars, and gold is one of the few things in a stressed book that can be sold today. Here is the balance sheet arithmetic, the two-phase shape it produces, and what it

MACROSep 3, 2026

Reserve Currency Status, in Numbers

De-dollarisation is asserted far more often than it is measured. The four jobs a reserve currency performs, which of them have moved, what would have to change before a shift is real, and how long

MACROSep 1, 2026

The Liquidity Tide Beneath Every Wave

Wave structure gives you the shape of a move. The liquidity regime decides how far it gives back before it resolves. The transmission chain, the three regimes, and which of 27 instruments actually

COMMODITIESAug 27, 2026

Contango, the Silent Cost in Oil and Gas

The futures curve is a cost structure, not a forecast. A modelled year of monthly rolls shows a correct 10% spot call finishing at -0.47%. Here is the arithmetic, and what it does to a multi-month

FOREXAug 26, 2026

DXY Is a Basket, Not a Currency

The dollar index is 57.6% euro, contains six currencies, and has been revised once since 1973. Here is what that means for your DXY wave count, plus the cross-check it gives you for free.

ELLIOTT WAVEAug 13, 2026

Trade the Invalidation, Not the Count

Why correct analysis alone will not make you profitable, and what actually will.

TRADING PSYCHOLOGYJun 6, 2026

Process Over Outcome: Why a Single Trade Does Not Matter

The trader's job, in four lines. And why most traders measure the wrong thing.

ELLIOTT WAVEMay 28, 2026

Elliott Wave Fibonacci retracement levels that actually work (most traders use the wrong ones)

Wave 2 typically ends at the 61.8% retracement, Wave 4 at 38.2%, and Wave C at 100% or 161.8% of Wave A. The Fibonacci level that matters at each wave degree, and why most traders reach for the wrong one.

ELLIOTT WAVEMay 8, 2026

Learn Elliott Wave trading for beginners: Why most fail (and how you won't)

Most Elliott Wave beginners give up early. Not because the theory is hard, but because they skip the fundamentals. Here's what actually works.

MARKET ANALYSISApr 30, 2026

FOMC April 2026: Powell's Hawkish Hold, Historic Dissent, and What Elliott Wave Tells Us About Gold, Dollar, S&P 500, and Bonds

Yesterday's FOMC decision was not just another rate hold. The Federal Reserve kept the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% as expected, but the 8-4 vote split, th

MARKET ANALYSISApr 28, 2026

Hormuz Strait Crisis and Elliott Wave: How Geopolitical Shock Is Reshaping Crude Oil, Gold, and Risk Assets in 2026

The Strait of Hormuz has been effectively closed since late February 2026. What began as a military escalation between the US-Israel coalition and Iran has evol

ELLIOTT WAVEApr 28, 2026

Gold Just Had Its First Down Week in Five. Central Bank Super Week Could Decide What Comes Next

Gold pulled back from $4,800 to $4,700 after a four-week rally. With the Fed and ECB meeting this week, we break down what wave structures and macro forces suggest about gold's next direction.

PLATFORMApr 13, 2026

Forex Fibonacci calculator: The free tool that calculates wave targets in seconds

Skip the manual math. Our free Fibonacci calculator gives you precise wave targets instantly. Skip the manual math. Our free Fibonacci calculator works out retracement and extension levels in seconds, the same way a wave analyst does it by hand.

EDUCATIONApr 7, 2026

Elliott Wave Cheat Sheet: 15 Critical Rules That Separate Pros From Amateurs

Most traders memorize wave patterns but miss the subtle rules that actually matter. Here's your pocket guide to the 15 non-negotiable Elliott Wave principles that separate consistent winners from weekend warriors.

EDUCATIONApr 2, 2026

The Elliott Wave Rules Bible: 43 Laws Every Trader Must Know (Free Downloadable Guide)

Master Elliott Wave with our complete rules guide. 43 essential laws covering wave structure, Fibonacci targets, and counting mistakes that kill accounts.

COMPARISONApr 1, 2026

Order Flow vs Elliott Wave: Why Most Traders Pick the Wrong Battle

Institutional volume tells one story. Wave patterns tell another. Institutional volume tells one story. Wave patterns tell another. Here's what each approach actually tells you about a market move, and where they disagree.

EDUCATIONApr 1, 2026

How to Count Elliott Waves Like a Pro: 7-Step Method That Actually Works (2026 Edition)

Most traders butcher wave counting. Here's the systematic 7-step approach we use at EW Strategy that works across all timeframes and instruments.

ELLIOTT WAVEMar 24, 2026

Why Free Elliott Wave Analysis Often Gets You Burned (The Quality Problem)

Free Elliott Wave analysis floods social media, but most of it will cost you money. Here's what separates professional wave counting from amateur guesswork.

STRATEGYMar 23, 2026

How AI Is Changing Elliott Wave Analysis Forever (And Why Human Insight Still Wins)

Artificial intelligence is revolutionizing wave counting, but the biggest breakthrough isn't what you think. Here's how AI Elliott Wave tools are reshaping trading, and where human expertise remains irreplaceable.

CRYPTOMar 22, 2026

Bitcoin Elliott Wave Count: Why 2026 Could Be BTC's Biggest Move Yet

Our complete Elliott Wave analysis of Bitcoin reveals a massive structural pattern developing. Here's what the wave count suggests for 2026 and beyond.

ELLIOTT WAVEMar 21, 2026

Green Star Trading Setups: How Our Highest-Conviction Calls Work

Our Green Star system marks our highest-conviction Elliott Wave setups, each one published dated with the wave count it rests on. Here is how these setups work and why they matter.

TRADING PSYCHOLOGYMar 19, 2026

Why the 3:1 Rule Fails Elliott Wave Traders (And What Actually Works)

Most traders blindly follow the 3:1 risk-reward rule. But Elliott Wave patterns demand a different approach. Here's what the wave structure itself tells you about where to take profit.

EDUCATIONMar 18, 2026

Wave 3: The Money Wave Every Elliott Wave Trader Must Master

Wave 3 generates more profits than any other Elliott Wave pattern. Here's why experienced traders build their entire strategy around catching these explosive moves.

STRATEGYMar 17, 2026

Elliott Wave vs Technical Analysis: The Truth About Which Works Better for Forex

Most traders think they need to choose between Elliott Wave and technical analysis. Most traders think they need to choose between Elliott Wave and technical analysis. That is the wrong question, and here is why.

STRATEGYMar 14, 2026

Why the 2% Rule Fights Elliott Wave Structure (And What to Size On Instead)

The standard 2% risk rule destroys Elliott Wave profits. The standard 2% risk rule treats every wave the same. Here is why sizing to the distance of your invalidation level beats a fixed percentage.

MARKET ANALYSISMar 14, 2026

Gold's Wave 5 Finale: Why March 2026 Could Mark the End of the Bull Run

Our Elliott Wave analysis suggests XAUUSD's massive Wave 5 could complete by March 2026. Here's what we're watching and what it means for your portfolio.

TRADING PSYCHOLOGYMar 14, 2026

The Mindset Flaw Behind Most Failed Elliott Wave Counts (One Simple Fix)

One habit separates wave counts that hold up from the ones that fall apart, and it isn't a technical skill. It's not what you think.

TRADING PSYCHOLOGYMar 14, 2026

5 Elliott Wave Mistakes That Drain Trading Accounts (And How to Spot Each One)

These five Elliott Wave counting errors are the ones that most often break a wave count. Here's how to spot and avoid each trap.

MARKET ANALYSISMar 12, 2026

Our March 2026 Gold Call, Reviewed: What Went Wrong (and What Didn't)

A review of our March 2026 gold forecast: the levels that were wrong, the dated analyses the desk was publishing at the same time, and the editorial fix. The honest review of our March 2026 gold forecast: the miss, the dated receipts and the fix.

EDUCATIONMar 10, 2026

How to Read Elliott Wave Charts Without Getting Lost (5 Essential Rules)

Most traders abandon Elliott Wave after their first chart attempt. Here's the systematic approach we teach, starting with the one rule that changes everything.

ELLIOTT WAVEFeb 4, 2025

An Analysis of General Motors (GM) Stock Based on Elliott Wave Theory

This review examines GM stock movements through Elliott Wave structures including impulse waves, corrections, and Fibonacci retracements.

ELLIOTT WAVEJan 28, 2025

1987 Black Monday: An Analysis of a Market Crash through the Elliott Wave Principle

This study examines the S&P 500 crash in October 1987 within Elliott Wave frameworks, revealing the crash as a natural correction.

ELLIOTT WAVEJan 26, 2025

Analysis of IBM Stock Price Movements Using The Elliott Wave Principle

This study analyzes IBM stock across four timeframes, examining impulse and corrective wave structures and evaluating market psychology cycles.

ELLIOTT WAVEJan 26, 2025

Ethereum Analysis Based on the Elliott Wave Principle

This research analyzes Ethereum price movements within Elliott Wave frameworks, applying Fibonacci ratios and exponential moving averages.